Text:Elain Lee (original post)
Translated by Chapman Chen
Myanmar not only persecutes ethnic Chinese in Kokang but has also sent military jets to bomb the Chinese side of the Myanmar-China border in Yunnan Province. Was this an imprudent move? Probably no.
The States Feeling out China’s Reaction to Border Conflict
Myanmar was once Communist China’s long-term ally, but after being drawn over to the U.S. side, it has become a very useful tool of America. Economically, Myanmar is trying to carve up those light industries that have withdrawn from China; politically, China has lost a friend. Now, unexpected by most people, Myanmar actually provokes China militarily on the border. Whether Communist China strikes back or not, it is destined to take a beating.
Should China exercise forbearance as usual, it has to face the pressure of public opinion at home. Should it strike back militarily, its fatigued and weak economy may not be able to bear the consequence. Moreover, the China military may seize the opportunity to grab power. These factors have rendered it difficult for President Xi Jinping, whose position is not yet secure enough, to make a decision.
Beset with troubles internally and externally, Myanmar’s resolute persecution of ethnic Chinese at home and bombing of the Chinese side of the border may well be a trick employed by the States to feel out China’ reaction.
Why should Kokang be used to try out China? I would argue the greatest reason is Kokang’s resemblance to Hong Kong:- Both places are located on a China-foreign-country border and in both places, Chinese and Western powers are entangled with each other. In other words, the United States wants to see clearly how Communist China would react to a military conflict in this kind of ambiguous border regions, in order to pave the way for seizing Hong Kong.
The Key Point is of course “Return to Asia”
The United States has painstakingly and meticulously done a lot of things with a view to grabbing Hong Kong, caring even about the ethnic minorities in Hong Kong. At the same time, the Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying continues to do all sorts of absurd things, which stirs up popular discontent
Under such a trade-off, how would the public sentiment of Hong Kong not return to the West? It seems that while there are not many Hongkongers who want to be masters of their own house, quite a few of them do want to be a colonial subject of a Western power again. The States does not even have to send troops to Hong Kong; all it has to do is to enlist Hongkongers in the army and give them weapons. So when the opportunity arises, it will not be surprising that the drama of Kokang should be restaged in Hong Kong..
It is said that the US military has spent a lot of money on expanding their navy, and the key purpose is of course “return to Asia”, just that they have not yet openly compared Hong Kong to navy bases in Japan, Guan, Singapore, etc. With Hong Kong and a strong navy, America can easily control East Asia.